Scenario Fulfillment? Why Should We Believe US On Location Of Drone Shot Down By Iran?

| Educate!

Above Photo: Global Hawk surveillance drone. By US Air Force

The Iranian military shot down a US spy drone yesterday. The US says the drone, a $22 million RQ-4A Global Hawk was in international airspace.

Iran said the drone was over Iranian airspace. Are we looking into “Scenario Fulfillment?”

But why should one believe the US with its history of lying?

Remember back to 1988 when a U.S. military warship USS Vincennes, a guided missile cruiser shot down Iran Air Flight 655 with all 290 people on board including 66 children. The regularly scheduled passenger flight was over Iran’s territorial waters in the Persian Gulf on the routine flight path shortly after taking off from Bandar Abbas heading on the 28-minute flight to Dubai. Its transformer was signaling it was a civilian aircraft.

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The USS Vincennes Incident
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The USS Vincennes was in Iranian territorial waters after one of its helicopters drew warning shots from Iranian speedboats that were guarding Iranian waterways.

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Yet, the U.S. maintained that it was correct in shooting down a civilian aircraft that they said they thought was a military aircraft. It was only much later that President Ronald Reagan made an apology.

When we visited Iran in February 2019, at the Tehran Peace Museum, we saw that the wound of the destruction of Iran Air Flight 655 was still raw.


‘Disastrous U.S. missile attack against Iranian air liner’ postage stamp, August 1988
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Knowing this from previous trips to Iran, as a citizen peace delegation, on this trip we presented a book made by a member of our delegation with the names of all of those killed on Flight 655 and with our apologies.


Delegation member Barbara Briggs-Letson presenting book with names of 290 passengers and crew of Iran Air flight 655 to Director of the Tehran Peace Museum
(Image by Photo by Ann Wright)
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CODEPINK: Women for Peace February 2019 Delegation to Iran
(Image by Photo by Ann Wright)
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“Scenario Fulfillment”

In a 2000 BBC documentary titled “The Other Lockerbie,” and in an M.I.T. study of the Flight 655 shoot-down, U.S. government officials stated in a written answer that they believed the shoot down of Iran Air 655 may have been caused by a simultaneous psychological condition among the 18 bridge crew of Vincennes, called “scenario fulfillment,” which is said to occur when persons are under pressure.

US officials said that in such a situation, the men will carry out a training scenario, believing it to be reality while ignoring sensory information that contradicts the scenario. In the case of this incident, the training scenario was an attack by a lone military aircraft when in fact, in reality, the aircraft was a civilian passenger plane on a regularly scheduled flight.

Let’s hope Bolton and Pompeo’s “scenario fulfillment” does not lead the White House to further military confrontation, much less an attack on Iran.

  • Neville

    It would be wise for the US Navy to check the satellite navigation on their drones due to military vessels of not only the US coming in contact with other vessels .

  • Cliff Sommers
  • PeterPaget

    As a U.S. citizen I have long wondered about and doubted anything Trump’s administration says or tries to claim if any other scenario or set of claimed facts would put Trump or his administration in a bad light regarding the issue. Even Trump’s claim of reversing the order to bomb Iran seems to be ridiculous posturing by Trump (tweeting) to claim he concerned that some anonymous Iranians could be killed when his other policies and sanctions on Iran and on Valenzuela are causing extreme hardships and deaths to innocent civilians. It appears Trump is acting the mendacious liar to make himself look like a benevolent strong man. IMO he is posturing and lying for his own ego and possible gain.

  • chetdude

    Its TRANSPONDER was signaling it was a civilian aircraft.”

  • chetdude

    How about a much more effective version of Trump like another Clinton, bush, Obama or…hey, how about H.Clinton II – Joe Biden?

  • PeterPaget

    Your comparisons are not close to being good. You should bring in a McCarthy or some of the Nazi scumbags like Goebbels for comparison.

  • chetdude

    The victories of the last 5 administrations: more wars, more neoliberal/trickle down economic policies making the uber-rich richer while the Working Class stagnates – THUS resulting in Trump as figurehead.

  • PeterPaget

    I can get on board with some of that. especially the bogus nonsense of the trickle down.

  • Everyone agrees that the drone was shot down over the Straits of Hormuz, which is 21 miles wide. Since each country’s airspace extends 12 miles past its borders, there is no international airspace over the Straits of Hormuz. The US statement cannot be completely true.

  • kevinzeese

    Such a basic point that should have been said in the first media report. Thanks for making it here.