The New York Times’ Misleading Story On North Korean Missiles

| Educate!

Above Photo: From 38north.org

North Korea is moving ahead with its ballistic missile program at 16 hidden bases that have been identified in new commercial satellite images…The satellite images suggest that the North has been engaged in a great deception: It has offered to dismantle a major launching site—a step it began, then halted—while continuing to make improvements at more than a dozen others that would bolster launches of conventional and nuclear warheads.

 

That is the ominous lede of a story by David Sanger and William Broad in The New York Times on Monday, November 12. Substituting tendentious hyperbole for sound reporting may convince editors to feature a story on page one, but it is a disservice to readers.

The United States and North Korea have yet to conclude an agreement that inhibits deployment of missiles by Pyongyang, never mind requiring their dismantlement. Nor has Washington yet offered the necessary reciprocal steps that might make such a deal possible. A negotiated suspension of missile deployment and production should follow a halt to fissile material production and take precedence in talks over a complete declaration of North Korea’s inventory of nuclear and missile assets.

In contrast, Adam Taylor’s story in Tuesday’s Washington Post posed the right question and reported the right answer:

Are these bases evidence that North Korea is cheating on the agreement it reached in June, when President Trump met North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in Singapore? Analysts say the answer is no—although there are plenty of caveats.

The New York Times story is based on a careful report by Joseph S. Bermudez, Victor Cha and Lisa Collins that makes no such claim. In fact, as the report acknowledges, the Sakkanmol Missile Operating Base and 15 others have long been observed by US intelligence, 13 of them by Bermudez himself.

Far from “moving ahead with its ballistic missile program,” Bermudez notes that “only minor infrastructure changes were observed” at this particular site since Kim Jong Un came to power in December 2011.

As for the New York Times’ claim that North Korea is “continuing to make improvements at more than a dozen others that would bolster launches of conventional and nuclear warheads,” while that is quite possible, the report by Bermudez, et al., does not support that contention. It says that Sakkanmol has Hwasong-5 and -6 (also designated Scud B and C) missiles based there since the early 1990s. It is conceivable that some of these short-range missiles may have nuclear warheads, but it seems more likely that the missiles are conventionally-armed and part of the DPRK’s effort to counter US-ROK conventional superiority.

It is also possible that intermediate-range missiles capable of reaching Japan could be co-located at some such bases but Bermudez, et al. have not detected any at Sakkanmol.

Negotiating a halt to the deployment and production of IRBMs and ICBMs is much more urgent than addressing short-range missiles, which might remain in place as long as they are not nuclear-armed but are part of the North’s conventional deterrent.

There is more than enough to do in negotiating constraints on and the elimination of North Korea’s nuclear and missile threats without exaggerating them and prematurely accusing Pyongyang of bad faith or calling into question President Trump’s wisdom for trying nuclear diplomacy in earnest.

  • mwildfire

    And the deal is that North Korea dismantles its nuclear sites and program, in exchange for the US removing sanctions and perhaps ending war games on the North Korean border, right? Nobody notices how unequal such a deal is. Never will there be a whisper of the notion that a fair deal would be North Korea dismantling its nukes in exchange for the US dismantling its nukes–the US and South Korea ending the war exercises in exchange for–but North Korea doesn’t conduct such exercises, does it? Similarly, the Iran deal just terminated by Trump involved half a dozen countries, mostly of the EU, and the US, versus Iran, talking about how to end the outrageous threat of Iran’s POSSIBLE nuclear program–and Iran was the only one there that DIDN’T have nukes (except Germany, which relies on the US’s). It’s true it was an outrageous deal–because a fair one would have seen all the countries getting rid of their nukes and being open to inspections.

  • potshot

    I agree mwildfire. Why the US keeps its nukes? But swaggers about who else should and should not have them.

  • mwildfire

    And hardly anyone, even on the left, points out the hypocrisy.

  • potshot

    I don’t think North Korea should have nukes. I don’t think Iran should have nukes. But I also don’t think the United States should have them. Nuclear weapons are an existential threat. No less a military voice than William Perry has warned that the threat of nuclear apocalypse is greater today than it was at the height of the Cold War. And nobody says Jack about. Not in their daily lives. Not in the weeks and months leading up to elections. Never.